国际R&D溢出、国内R&D和真实经济增长——基于技术扩散模型的一个实证  

International R&D Spillover,Domestic R&D and Real Economic Growth in China:An Empirical Study on the Mode of Technical Diffusion

作　　者：刘飞[1] 王德发[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海财经大学统计学系

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2009年第3期82-86,共5页World Economy Studies

摘　　要：目前已有大量的关于FDI和加工贸易国际R&D溢出的研究,本文改进了巴罗具有扩大的产品种类的技术扩散模型,将FDI国际R&D溢出、加工贸易国际R&D溢出、国内R&D三者共同作为技术进步的来源和经济增长的解释变量,通过对我国1983～2006年经济数据的实证分析表明,人力资本和国内R&D对经济增长的贡献具统计学意义上的显著性,且存在长期均衡关系;但没有足够的证据表明FDI和加工贸易对经济增长的显著正向外溢效应。There are a great deal of studies on international R&D spillover in FDI and processing trade. This paper improved Barrow's technique diffusion mode which expanded the range of products. It made three factors, international R&D spillover in FDI, processing trade of international R&D spillover, and domestic R&D, as the source of technical progress and the explanatory variables of gorwth to analyze the data during 1983～2006 empirically. The conclude showed that the contribution of the human capital and domestic R&D to economic growth has the significant effect statistically, and there was a equilibrium relationship between them in a long-run. However, there was no enough evidence to prove that FDI and processing trade had significant and positive spillover effect on economic growth.

关 键 词：外商直接投资 加工贸易 自主创新 单位根检验 GRANGER检验 

分 类 号：F113[经济管理—国际贸易] F124.3[经济管理—世界经济] F224