城镇居民消费需求与消费结构变动分析*——基于ELES模型  

An Analysis on Change of Consumer Demand and Consumer Structure of Chinese Urban Residents——Based on ELES Model

作　　者：程杰[1] 武拉平[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京100094

出　　处：《石河子大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》2009年第1期49-53,共5页Journal of Shihezi University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)

基　　金：农业部软科学项目"扩大消费需求问题研究"(0621)

摘　　要：该文利用ELES模型对城镇居民消费需求和消费结构进行了动态研究,分析得出:医疗保健、交通通信、教育文娱和居住的基本消费需求增长更明显;食品、家庭设备、居住和杂项的需求收入弹性呈现下降趋势;衣着、医疗保健、交通通信和教育文娱的需求收入弹性呈现上升趋势。家庭设备、交通通信和教育文娱的自价格弹性相对较大,但各项商品的自价格弹性均表现出不同程度的下降趋势。同时,需求收入弹性呈现下降趋势的商品,自价格弹性的下降趋势更为显著。各项消费品之间的互价格弹性总体较小,且基本表现为互补性。This paper studies dynamically the change of consumer demand and consumer structure of Chinese urban residents by using ELES model. The results indicate that basic consumer demand on medicine and medical services, transport and communication services, education and cultural services and residence increase more remarkable than others. There is a decline trend about income elasticities of demand for food, household facilities, residence and miscellaneous commodities, but there is an ascend trend about income elasticities of demand for clothing, medicine and medical services, transport and communication services , education and cultural services, self price elasticities of demand for household facilities, transport and communication services, education and cultural services are relatively high, but there are decline trends about self price elasticities in a different extend for all kinds of commodities and services.

关 键 词：城镇居民 消费需求 消费结构 ELES模型 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济]