用前移回归分析法预测舰船装备计划修理总经费  

A prediction for the all intending reparative cost of warship based on forward regression analysis

作　　者：黄栋[1,2] 田恬[3] 朱贵平[4] 蒋宾[2] 

机构地区：[1]海军工程大学 [2]武汉大学 [3]海军装备部 [4]92538部队

出　　处：《中国修船》2009年第2期52-55,共4页China Shiprepair

摘　　要：在综合分析各种装备维修经费预测方法的基础上,对海军舰船装备计划修理总费用的预测问题进行了研究,提出了用前移回归分析法预测舰船装备计划修理总经费,并通过实例模型证明了前移回归分析模型预测效果较好,而且建模原理简单,可方便进行隔年预测。The all intending reparative cost prediction model of warship was established based on the different kinds of modals for maintenance cost estimation. A forward regression analysis model for such cost and an example to prove its effectiveness were provided, which proved easy to use, with which the maintenance cost in after years can be forecast.

关 键 词：前移回归分析 维修经费 预测 

分 类 号：U672.7[交通运输工程—船舶及航道工程]