基于电力消费弹性系数的山东省电力需求分析  

Analysis of the Electricity Demand Based on Power Consumption Flexible Coefficient in Shandong Province

作　　者：王金雪[1] 王金亮[2] 方云 

机构地区：[1]济南大学管理学院,山东济南250022 [2]山东电力研究院,山东济南250002 [3]华电潍坊发电有限公司,山东潍坊261204

出　　处：《山东电力技术》2009年第2期16-19,68,共5页Shandong Electric Power

摘　　要：山东省电力需求一直处于一种高速增长状态,电力消费弹性系数也一直保持较大幅度的变化,尤其在国家经济转型和工业化推进阶段,作为重工业密集区的山东省,电力的需求研究具有非常重大的意义。通过研究山东省电力消费弹性系数变化规律,利用协整理论寻找电力消费弹性系数变化的原因,提出了应对电力消费弹性变化趋势的建议。The electricity demand is growing fast in Shandong Province, and the change of power consumption flexible coefficient is big. Our country is at the stage of advancing the industrialization rapidly as well as an economy in transition. Population growth approaches the peak period, enlarge the demand of energy continuously. As an industry province, on the demand for electricity has very great significance in Shandong. Based on the change of power consumption flexible coefficient in Shandong, using co-integration theory to find the reasons for the change, and bring forward feasible measure.

关 键 词：电力消费弹性系数 山东省 协整理论 

分 类 号：N945.12[自然科学总论—系统科学]