联合站风险模糊综合评价方法研究  

Study on Fuzzy Poly-assessment Method of Risks in Combined-stations

作　　者：李凌峰[1] 姚安林[2] 蒋宏业[2] 肖峰[3] 

机构地区：[1]长江大学石油工程学院 [2]西南石油大学 [3]中国石油大学(北京)

出　　处：《油气储运》2009年第3期10-12,65,共4页Oil & Gas Storage and Transportation

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划课题(2006BAK02B01-11);国家科技攻关项目子专题(2001BA803B03)

摘　　要：在借鉴国外管道风险评价技术的基本思想和处理方法基础上,结合我国油田联合站的实际条件,运用模糊数学中模糊综合评价方法,制定了符合我国国情的联合站模糊风险评价方法。以联合站风险评价指标体系为基础,提出了联合站风险评价的模糊综合评价模型,建立了联合站风险影响模糊失效可能性因素体系和模糊失效后果因素体系,形成了较为客观的联合站失效可能性因素及失效后果因素评价方法。Referencing the basic theory and technology of pipeline risk assessment and disposing method in foreign countries and combined with real working conditions in combined-stations in China,a risk assessment system for combined-stations tallying with China's situation by using fuzzy poly-assessment method of fuzzy mathematics is set up and a model of fuzzy mathematics to assess the risk of combined-stations is raised based on risk assessment index system.And a complete system of fuzzy failure factors and fuzzy consequence factors for combined-stations is established,which constitutes an objective criterion to assess the failure and consequence factors of combined-stations.

关 键 词：联合站 风险评价 半定量法 模糊综合评价 方法 

分 类 号：TE687[石油与天然气工程—油气加工工程] O159[理学—数学]