城市生态安全的多种评价模型及应用  

Several assessment models and application analysis of urban ecological security

作　　者：李佩武[1] 李贵才[2] 张金花[1] 徐凤[1] 陈莉[1] 

机构地区：[1]天津师范大学城市与环境科学学院,天津300384 [2]北京大学深圳研究生院,深圳518055

出　　处：《地理研究》2009年第2期293-302,共10页Geographical Research

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(40571051)

摘　　要：为了对城市生态安全水平与评价方法进行研究,以深圳和4个中央直辖市为研究对象,根据压力-状态-响应(PSR)模型,构建了城市生态安全评价指标体系并采用层次分析与熵值相结合的优化方法,综合确定权重运用改进的灰色关联度法、物元可拓综合法、模糊综合法和主成分投影法等4种评价模型,对上述城市2006年生态安全水平进行了测算、分析与评价,并对评价模型进行了对比探讨。结果表明:(1)深圳生态安全水平最高,依次为北京、天津和上海,重庆最低;深圳、北京和天津生态安全等级为较安全,上海为临界安全,重庆为不安全;上海发展潜力最大,深圳、北京与天津较大,重庆仍最小。(2)在对城市生态安全评价研究中,模糊综合法与物元可拓综合法评价结果较全面、精确,其中模糊综合法更利于有针对性地分析问题。This paper aims at exploring the urban ecological security level and assessment methods,and providing the scientific basis for the policy of the assessment and management on the urban ecological security.Shenzhen and four municipalities are taken as case studies to contrive an evaluating index system of urban ecological security depending on the Pressure-Status-Response（PSR）model.Firstly,the authors use four kinds of assessment models to simulate urban ecological security levels for those cities in 2006.A comparison is made between these models,based on the optimal method in combination of the subjective preference（Analytic Hierarchy Process）and the objective information（the modified Entropy）,so as to identify the weights of all assessment indexes comprehensively.Then the ecological systems of Shenzhen and four municipalities are evaluated by applying the modified Grey Relational Analysis,the Matter-Element extension,the Fuzzy Comprehensive method and Main Constituents Projection method.The results are shown as follows：（1）Shenzhen＇s ecological security level is the highest,followed by Beijing,Tianjin and Shanghai,and Chongqing.Shenzhen,Beijing and Tianjin are labeled as relative safety at ecological security level,Shanghai is critically secure,and Chongqing is unsafe;Shanghai possesses the most developmental potentiality,while less in Shenzhen,Beijing and Tianjin,and still the lowest in Chongqing.From the conclusions above,the differences can be found in terms of ecological environmental pressures,the states of ecological systems and the responses of human beings for different cities.（2）In the studying method of urban ecological security evaluation,every model can obtain a similar result and can reflect the applicability on ecological security assessment.The results of Fuzzy Comprehensive method and Matter-Element Extension method are more comprehensive,and more differentiations can be revealed in Fuzzy Comprehensive method which can analyze the problems and offer the targeted measures tha

关 键 词：评价模型 指标体系 城市生态安全 评价 深圳 

分 类 号：X826[环境科学与工程—环境工程]