子母弹对机场跑道封锁时间的计算方法与分析  

Calculation and Analysis of the Time of Airstrips Blockaded by Cluster Munitions

作　　者：黄寒砚[1] 王正明[1] 

机构地区：[1]国防科学技术大学数学与系统科学系,湖南长沙410073

出　　处：《兵工学报》2009年第3期295-300,共6页Acta Armamentarii

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目资助(60604020);国防科技大学校预研项目(JC2006-02-01)

摘　　要：封锁时间和封锁概率是评估子母弹对机场跑道封锁效果的2个重要指标。本文重点针对封锁时间的计算,考虑机场遭打击后修复最少数量坑的模型,提出了区域搜索法和随机抽样法2种方法。这2种方法均采用Monte-Carlo仿真技术,在通过数值仿真法生成子弹落点的前提下,搜索出受最少子弹影响的紧急维修区域,从而计算了封锁时间和封锁概率。最后还给出了计算实例,说明了在合适的仿真次数和抽样次数保证下2种方法的合理性,以及在应用中如何选择这2种方法。The blockage probability and the blockage time are two important indexes in assessing the efficiency of airstrips blockaded by cluster munitions. Considering the minimum number of craters which needs to be repaired after encountering with attack, the region-by-region searching method and the randomly sampling method were proposed to calculate the blockage time. A minimum leave window （MLW） with the minimum number of craters was found out as the region to repair, the blockage probability and the blockage time were calculated out by the two methods in which the impact points of the submunitions are generated with Monte-Carlo. An example was given to show that the two methods are reasonable on the condition of adequacy simulating times and enough sampling times, and how to be chosen.

关 键 词：计算机应用 最小升降窗口 封锁时间 Monte-Carlo 机场跑道 封锁概率 

分 类 号：TP391.9[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]