2007年中国卫生总费用分析与预测  

Analysis and Prediction of Chinese total Expenditure on Health in 2007

作　　者：赵郁馨[1] 谢小平[1] 翟铁民[1] 

机构地区：[1]卫生部卫生经济研究所,北京100083

出　　处：《中国卫生经济》2009年第4期14-18,共5页Chinese Health Economics

摘　　要：为反映我国卫生总费用现状特点以及未来一段时期卫生总费用筹资结构的变化,对2007年卫生费用进行了核算和分析,并在历史数据基础上,结合未来政策预期,对卫生费用筹资总额和三类卫生筹资来源分别进行预测。研究表明,在我国医药卫生体制改革方向和政策导向下,我国卫生费用筹资结构将逐步优化,政府和社会筹资比重将逐渐加大,而居民个人现金卫生支出比重将持续下降,预计2014年将基本形成"三四三制"的筹资结构。In order to reflect the TEH of China and its financing structure change in recent future years, this research accounts and analyzes TEH in 2007, and on the basis of historical data, combined with expected future policy, TEH and three types of health financing sources are predicted separately. It shows that under the health system reform background and with health policy guidance, government and social health expenditure proportion in TEH will gradually increase, while the proportion of OOP continuously decreasing. It is expected that the financing structure of TEH will be the form of “3：4：3” in 2014.

关 键 词：卫生总费用 分析 预测 

分 类 号：R197.1[医药卫生—卫生事业管理]