我国与世界天然气市场发展预测  

Forecasts in World and China's Natural Gas Markets

作　　者：张荣 

机构地区：[1]中国石油化工集团中国石油研究院

出　　处：《天然气技术与经济》2004年第4期7-10,78,共5页Natural Gas Technology and Economy

摘　　要：对我国与世界天然气资源、产量和消费情况进行了分析与预测。认为:近年来我国与世界天然气储量、产量和消费量都在逐年上升;未来25年,可以预计的天然气储量增量为66.42×10^(12)m^3,天然气消费年均增长率为2.2%,未来天然气产量与管道建设和下游综合利用进度及水平密切相关;未来5年我国天然气探明储量和产量都将呈高速增长态势,我国天然气工业发展的重点是下游市场的开拓,应将天然气发电作为天然气利用的重点。Analysis and forecasts about natural gas resource, production and consumption including China and the world are presented. In the future 25years, natural gas resource will increase 66.42×10^(12)m^3 and natural gas consumption will grow at an annual rate of 2.2%. As to gas production, it will be mostly related to construction of pipelines and downstream utilization level. In the future 5 years, both gas proven reserves and gas production will increase in a high speed. Opening up downstream market is the key for natural gas industry development. Power generation should be pay more attention to.

关 键 词：中国 世界 天然气 储量 产量 消费 贸易 预测 

分 类 号：F426.22[经济管理—产业经济]