江西省汛期暴雨气候特点及预报方法综合分析  

COMPREHENSIVE ANALYSIS ON CLIMATIC CHARACTERISTICS AND FORECAST METHODS OF HEAVY RAINFALL IN JIANGXI DURING FLOOD-SEASON

作　　者：金米娜[1] 

机构地区：[1]江西省气象台,江西南昌330046

出　　处：《气象与减灾研究》2009年第1期69-72,共4页Meteorology and Disaster Reduction Research

摘　　要：概括介绍了江西省汛期暴雨的气候特点、汛期暴雨环流形势和天气系统特征,以及针对江西省汛期暴雨的预报方法研究进展。最后,提出了未来一段时间江西省暴雨预报方法研究的主要方向,认为应该将暴雨过程的天气尺度和中尺度特征与地形特征相结合,开发暴雨预报方法并建立暴雨预报模式。The characteristics of climate, circulation condition and synoptic systems of heavy rainfall in Jiangxi during floodseason are summarized. In addition, the development of the forecast method of flood-season heavy rainfall in Jiangxi is reviewed. Finally, the main direction of forecast methods research is brought forward. It is suggested that heavy rainfall forecast model should be developed integrating synoptic-scale and meso-scale characteristics with terrain characteristics.

关 键 词：江西汛期 暴雨 气候特点 预报方法 

分 类 号：P458.121.1[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]