矿业投资风险评价方法  

METHOD FOR APPRAISAL OF MINE INVESTMENT RISKS

作　　者：王志宏[1] 刘志斌[1] 彭世济[2] 张达贤[2] 

机构地区：[1]辽宁工程技术大学 [2]中国矿业大学北京研究生部

出　　处：《煤炭学报》1998年第2期217-221,共5页Journal of China Coal Society

基　　金：辽宁省博士起动基金

摘　　要：应用模糊可能性理论，建立了矿业投资风险的模糊可能性评价模型和风险因素敏感度计算模型，提出了用风险变量的临界值划分风险程度的风险等级和投资风险程度模糊可能性的表示方法，并对某露天煤矿建设项目进行了投资风险评价实例研究．评价结果符合项目的实际情况，该方法具有实际应用价值．A model for appraisal of mine investment risk based on fuzzy possibility theory and a model for calculation of the sensitivity of risk variable are established. The risks are graded by the critical values of a risk variable. And the investment risks are represented by fuzzy possibility. The investment risk of an opencut mine is evaluated as an example. The results are in conformity with the actual conditions, which has proved that this method is of practical value.

关 键 词：投资 风险 评价 敏感度 模糊可能性 矿业 

分 类 号：F407.213.5[经济管理—产业经济]