基于均生函数模型的杭州市年降雨量预测  

Forecasting of Annual Precipitation Based on Model of Average-growing Function in Hangzhou City

作　　者：孙映宏[1] 

机构地区：[1]杭州市水文水资源监测总站,浙江杭州310016

出　　处：《水电能源科学》2009年第2期14-16,共3页Water Resources and Power

摘　　要：采用均生函数模型对杭州市1956-2008年年降雨量进行预测模拟，并对模型进行了修正。实例结果表明，修正模型具有较强的预报精度，可为类似时间序列要素的中长期预测研究提供借鉴。Based on model of average-growing function, the yearly precipitation from 1956 to 2008 in H angzhou was modelled and forecast. What is more, the revised method of secondary modeling by error was brought forward and got better result. The fact shows that this method can have better forecast ability and give reference to forecast research of similar time series.

关 键 词：均生函数模型 年降水量 预测 

分 类 号：P457.6[天文地球—大气科学及气象学] P456.3