应用捕获-再捕获法估计某市静脉注射吸毒人员基数的研究  

Applications of Capture-Recapture method for estimating the population size of injecting drug users in a city

作　　者：汪涛[1] 岑永庄[1] 李雷[1] 来学惠[1] 夏生林[1] 

机构地区：[1]中山市疾病预防控制中心,广东中山528403

出　　处：《中华疾病控制杂志》2009年第2期134-136,共3页Chinese Journal of Disease Control & Prevention

基　　金：广东省医学科研基金立项课题(A2006780)

摘　　要：目的探索捕获-再捕获法在静脉注射吸毒人员基数估计中的应用,并对广东省某市静脉注射吸毒人员基数进行估计。方法采用捕获-再捕获法,利用市强制戒毒所登记的资料,估计全市静脉注射吸毒人员的基数。结果用捕获-再捕获法估计全市静脉注射吸毒人数为13017。结论运用捕获-再捕获法对静脉注射吸毒人数进行估计经济易行,结果较为可靠,较适合在卫生资源有限的情况下进行高危人群基数估计。Objective To study the application of Capture-Recapture method in estimating the size of population of injecting drug users （ IDUs）, and estimate the size of population in IDUs in a city using the data of detoxification center. Methods Capture-Recapture method was applied to estimating the size of population in IDUs in the city based on the data of detoxification center. Results The result of Capture- Recapture in estimating the IDUs in the city was 13 017. Conclusions It is economic and feasible to estimate the size of population in IDUs by applying the Capture-Recapture method. The result is reliable and the method is suitable in districts where health resources are limited.

关 键 词：方法 物质滥用 静脉内 人口统计学 

分 类 号：R512.91[医药卫生—内科学]