我国柑橘市场预警指标体系的构建  

Construction of Early Warning Index System of Citrus Market in China

作　　者：熊巍[1] 祁春节[1] 

机构地区：[1]华中农业大学经济管理学院,湖北武汉430070

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2009年第13期6210-6212,共3页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：国家现代农业(柑橘)产业技术体系专项(MATS-nycytx-07)经费

摘　　要：基于我国柑橘市场当前的形势和未来的发展趋势,根据预警指标体系的设置原则,建立我国柑橘市场有关警情、警源和警兆指标的预警指标体系,并利用时差相关分析法对警兆指标进行先行、同步、滞后指标的分类,并对各个指标在反映柑橘市场的不同时滞作用进行区分。Based on the current situation and future development trend of citrus market, according to the setting principles of early warning index system, the early warning index system of citrus market＂ in China was set up, including warning situation, warning source and warning omen indices. Time difference correlation analysis method was used to make classification of warning indices about leading, synchronous and lagging indices. And different lag time of each index reflecting the safety of citrus market was distinguished.

关 键 词：柑橘市场 预警指标体系 时差相关分析 

分 类 号：F307.13[经济管理—产业经济]