山东省土地资源人口承载力预测  

A PREDICTION OF THE LAND POENTIAL CAPACITY FOR CARRYING POPULATION IN SHANDONG PROVINCE

作　　者：李新运[1,2] 李荣升 张晓青[1,2] 王忠山 

机构地区：[1]山东师范大学山东省可持续发展研究中心 [2]山东师范大学地理学系

出　　处：《山东师范大学学报（自然科学版）》1998年第2期158-160,共3页Journal of Shandong Normal University(Natural Science)

摘　　要：通过建立预测模型对２１世纪初山东省人口、耕地、粮食、肉、蛋、水产品等进行了预测、计算出了２０００和２０１０年土地人口承载量，对人口增长和土地承载力提高进行了比较分析．The population,cultivated area,grain yield,output of meat,egg and aquatic product of Shandong Province in the early years of the 21st century are dynamically predicted by models.The land potential capacities for carrying population in the year of 2000 and in the year of 2010 are computed out in the province.The poulation growth and land capacity are comparatively analysed.

关 键 词：土地承载力 预测 模型 土地资源 人口 山东 

分 类 号：F323.211[经济管理—产业经济]