基于生态足迹模型的中国生态可持续性动态分析  

Dynamic Analysis on Sustainable Ecosystem in China Based on Ecological Footprint Model

作　　者：陈成忠[1] 王晖[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖北师范学院地理科学系,湖北黄石435002

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2009年第10期4546-4547,4549,共3页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：湖北师范学院优秀中青年科技创新团队计划项目;湖北师范学院人才引进项目(2008F16)

摘　　要：基于生态足迹理论提出一种新的产量因子计算方法,计算了中国1949～2006年人均生态足迹和生物承载力。利用生态足迹指数和生态足迹效率2个指标,对中国1949～2006年的生态可持续性进行了长时间序列的动态评估。结果表明,57年来,中国人均生态足迹在波动中不断增加,1949年为0.167 hm^2,2006年达到1.853 hm^2;中国人均生物承载力在波动中不断下降,1949年为1.000 hm^2,2006年为0.870 hm^2,20世纪80年代以来波动比较平稳;中国生态足迹指数在波动中急剧下降,生态足迹效率20世纪80年代以前变化非常缓慢,自80年代末大幅提高。A new calculation method of nation yield factor is proposed based on EF model in this study.The per capita ecological footprint（EF） and biocapacity（BC） are calculated based on the calculation of nation yield factors in China during 1949-2006.Dynamic changes of sustainable ecosystem in China have been assessed with long-term series from 1949 to 2006 is analyzed with EF index（EFI） and EF efficiency（EFE）.The results show that： over last 57 years,the per capita EF in China is constantly increased with fluctuation,and the per capita BC is constantly decreased with fluctuation.Their annual average change rates are 4.519% and 0.198%,respectively.China＇s EFI has reduced sharply with fluctuation.The change of EFE is very slowly before 1980,it is sharply increased in the end of 1980 s.

关 键 词：生态足迹 生物承载力 生态足迹指数 生态足迹效率 中国 

分 类 号：F205[经济管理—国民经济]