城市供水负荷预测模型研究  

The research on Loading forecast model of urban water supply

作　　者：许强[1] 

机构地区：[1]西安航空技术高等专科学校动力系,陕西西安710077

出　　处：《吉林水利》2009年第5期22-24,27,共4页Jilin Water Resources

摘　　要：城市供水负荷预测是给水系统优化调度的基础。用水量负荷既有一定的规律性,又有很强的随机性,未来某一时刻的用水量负荷,通常与过去的负荷水平、当前的运行状况等因素密切相关。用水量预测是在分析城市用水量序列数据模式的基础上,综合利用统计回归的方法建立的数学表达式来预测供水负荷。Municipal water consumption is the base of optimal operation of water distribution system. Water consumption processes regularity and randomness. Water consumption in some day has relation with the consumption in the past and operating conditions etc. Water consumption forecasting model is a mathematical representation which is based on the data pattern of urban water consumption series.

关 键 词：用水量预测 统计回归分析 优化调度 

分 类 号：TU991.3[建筑科学—市政工程]