大城市居民出行方式决策方法研究  

Research on the Decision-making Methods of the Resident Trip Mode in the Megalopolis in China

作　　者：马昌喜[1] 文娟娟[2] 李创红[1] 李晓莉[1] 

机构地区：[1]兰州交通大学,交通运输学院,兰州730070 [2]四川建筑职业技术学院,交通与市政工程系,四川德阳618000

出　　处：《交通运输工程与信息学报》2009年第2期33-38,共6页Journal of Transportation Engineering and Information

基　　金：甘肃省自然科学基金项目(3ZX062-B25-003);甘肃省科技计划资助项目(0804GKCA038)

摘　　要：本文在分析各种出行方式特点的基础上,建立了居民出行决策指标体系。进而根据确定和不确定两种环境分别建立了居民出行方式决策模型。针对确定环境,构建了基于双基点法的居民出行决策模型;针对不确定环境,构建了基于区间排序法的居民出行决策模型。最后用实例分别验证了模型的可行性,证明了该决策系统对人们日常的出行行为有一定的指导意义。For helping decision-making of the residents' trip,a scientific and reasonable resident trip decision-making method was set up.Meanwhile a decision-making index system was established based on analyzing each kind of the trip mode characteristics.Then,two resident trip mode decision models have been established separately under a certain or a uncertain environments.Under the certain environment,a decision-making model was constructed based on the double base points method;under the uncertain environment,another trip decision-making model was constructed based on the interval order method.Finally,an example has been used to confirm each model's feasibility separately.This decision-making system has certain guiding sense to people's daily trip behaviors.

关 键 词：大城市 居民 出行方式 决策 

分 类 号：U491.122[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]