中国城市化影响政府公共支出的理论分析及实证  

Impact of China Urbanization on Government Expenditure

作　　者：陈昌兵[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院经济研究所,北京100836

出　　处：《当代经济科学》2009年第3期16-20,共5页Modern Economic Science

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重大招标课题"我国经济结构战略性调整和增长方式转变"(06&ZD004-01)

摘　　要：工业化向城市化转变的过程中,中国政府的目标发生了变化。工业化时期,政府动员一切可利用的资源发展经济,而在城市化阶段,政府转向福利支出目标。这一转变表现为经济建设费支出比重减小而公共财政支出比重不断增大。本文分析了中国城市化使政府公共支比重增大,并进行了实证分析。城市化率每增加1个百分点,公共财政支出比重就增加0.6293个百分点,且公共财政支出比重随收入差距扩大而增大。The goal of Chinese government during industrialization is to mobilize all resources to develop its economy. However, this goal has been changed to welfare during urbanization. This shift is observed by increasing public finance payment and decreasing input in economic construction. This paper empirically researches the impact of urbanization on government expenditure. Our results show that public finance payment would increase 0.6293 percent with one percent of urbanization rate increase.

关 键 词：城市化 政府目标 公共财政支出比重 VECM 

分 类 号：F812.45[经济管理—财政学] F299.2F224