港口-腹地关联性测度及驱动要素研究--以连云港港口-淮海经济区为例  

Study on the correlation measure of harbor-hinterland and its driving forces:Taking Lianyungang Port-Huaihai Economic Region as an example

作　　者：朱传耿[1] 刘波[2] 李志江[1] 

机构地区：[1]徐州师范大学城市与环境学院,江苏徐州221116 [2]江苏沿海开发研究中心,江苏盐城224002

出　　处：《地理研究》2009年第3期716-725,共10页Geographical Research

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(06BJL058);国家自然科学基金项目(40671053)联合资助

摘　　要：在对国内外港口—腹地相互关联研究文献综述基础上,运用灰色关联分析法,通过计算港口—腹地经济关联发展的均值关联度,对1990-2005年连云港港口—淮海经济区关联发展效应进行定量研究,并对影响连云港港口—淮海经济区关联的驱动要素进行定性分析。主要结论有：连云港港口—港城关联发展总体上呈上升趋势,并具有明显的阶段性;连云港港口与淮海经济区中的苏北、鲁南、皖北和豫东4个板块之间的关联度差异具有明显的地域差异,即皖北和豫东保持稳定、鲁南整体下降、苏北缓慢上升;连云港港口与淮海经济区一体化进程在关联发展总体趋势较强的基础上推进,但具有明显的弱化倾向;自然条件与区位、基础设施与交通、经济水平与政策、腹地一体化程度是影响连云港港口—淮海经济区关联的主要驱动要素。Based on the theoretical research results about the relationships of the Port-hinterland at home and abroad, this paper analyzes the mean value correlation degree of Lianyungang Port-Huaihai Economic Region by grey correlation analysis method during the period 1990~2005 as well as the driving factors affecting the correlation degree of Lianyungang Port-Huaihai Economic Region. Some conclusions are drawn as follows： （1） The correlation degree of Lianyungang Port-Lianyungang City is remarkable as a whole, but the stage characteristics are obvious. （2） The correlation discrepency degree has regional characteristics between Lianyungang Port and northern Jiangsu, southern Shandong, northern Anhui and eastern Henan of Huaihai Economic Region, that is to say, northern Anhui and eastern Henan maintains stable, southern Shandong presents a descending trend, northern Jiangsu rises slowly. （3） The process of economic integration of Lianyungang Port-Huaihai Economic Region has been accelerated on the basis that the correlation development trend is strong on the whole, but the weakening tendency is obvious. （4） These driving factors affecting the interactive level of Lianyungang Port-Huaihai Economic Region are natural conditions and locations, infrastructure and transportation, economic level and policies, and the integration degree of hinterland.

关 键 词：港口 腹地 均值关联度 驱动要素 连云港港口 淮海经济区 

分 类 号：P74[天文地球—海洋科学]