一种空中目标航迹的灰色预测方法  

A Grey Prediction Method for Predicting Aerial Target Track

作　　者：孙炜[1,2] 白剑林[1] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学导弹学院,陕西三原713800 [2]空军装备研究院情报所,北京100085

出　　处：《电光与控制》2009年第6期12-15,共4页Electronics Optics & Control

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助(60773209)

摘　　要：针对防空作战中空中目标航迹预测的问题,提出了一种基于灰色理论的空中目标航迹预测方法。该方法通过建立等维新息残差修正GM预测模型,实现了航迹的实时在线预测,从而提高了预测精度。通过实例计算表明:在数据有限的情况下,该模型用于航迹预测效果明显。A method for predicting aerial target tracks in air defense warfare was put forward based on grey theory. Through establishing the predicting GM model of corrected residual error, on-line prediction of the target track could be realized in real time, and thus could improve the prediction precision. The calculation results of examples showed that the model is accurate and reliable for the prediction of the aerial target tracks, especially when the data is limited.

关 键 词：防空作战 目标航迹 灰色模型 灰色预测 

分 类 号：V271.4[航空宇航科学与技术—飞行器设计] N941.5[自然科学总论—系统科学]