工程系统随机模糊可靠性模型及其应用的研究  

Random Fuzzy Reliability Model of Engineering System and Its Application

作　　者：周前祥[1] 彭世济[2] 张达贤[2] 

机构地区：[1]航天医学工程研究所 [2]中国矿业大学北京研究生部

出　　处：《系统工程与电子技术》1998年第6期16-20,共5页Systems Engineering and Electronics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金

摘　　要：本文从人－机－环境系统工程理论出发，认为影响工程系统各因素造成故障的程度是不同的。它们具有随机性和模糊性双重特征，因而不能简单地将其归结为纯随机变量。文中提出故障趋势的概念，构造了故障类随机模糊状态的隶属度函数，在此基础上建立了工程系统随机模糊可靠度计算模型。最后以某矿井工作面生产系统为实例进行对比研究，效果较好。An engineering system is considered to be comprehensively influnced by the factors of human,machine and enviroment.In the course of working,the levels of fault aroused by all the factors are different from each other. With peculiarities of random and fuzzy,these factors can't only be regarded as simple random variables. In addition,the subordinate function of random fuzzy state is formed,and the fault trend is also discussed,on the basis of which the random fuzzy reliability model of engineering system is founded.At last,the model is applied to the longwell coal caving face system of a coal mine,with good results.

关 键 词：系统工程 故障分析 隶属度函数 可靠性 模型 

分 类 号：N94[自然科学总论—系统科学] TB114.3[理学—概率论与数理统计]