AIDS“鸡尾酒疗法”最佳终止治疗时间的预测  

Forecast of the best time to end treatment of drug cocktail therapy of AIDS

作　　者：田贺民[1] 朱丽梅[2] 李阳[1] 

机构地区：[1]沈阳理工大学基础教研部,辽宁沈阳110168 [2]沈阳航空工业学院基础教研部,辽宁沈阳110136

出　　处：《辽宁师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2009年第2期144-146,共3页Journal of Liaoning Normal University:Natural Science Edition

摘　　要：艾滋病困扰人类已达27年之久,全球近4 000万人在忍受着这一病魔的折磨.如何战胜这一敌人,已成为全人类共同的课题.1996年由美籍华裔科学家何大一首先提出了艾滋病的"鸡尾酒疗法",然而,长期用药会使HIV病毒产生抗药性,导致治疗效果的下降.本文针对这一实际问题,结合美国艾滋病医疗试验机构ACTG公布的一组数据,运用回归分析理论,建立了关于"鸡尾酒疗法"的疗效模型,以对该疗法的最佳终止治疗时间进行预测,并借助SPSS统计软件对模型加以求解,最终获得较为合理的结论,为艾滋病治疗提供了一个切实可行的方案.Mankind has been suffering from AIDS for 27 years, near forty million H. I. V. infections are afflicted with AIDS worldwide. It＇s a commun question for human race how to prevail it. In 1996, Chinese-born American scientist He Da-yi put forward drug cocktail therapy of AIDS, but long-time medication can lead to HIV resisting treatment, and curative effect is becoming progressively worse. To the question, basing on the statistic data reported by the AIDS medical treatment experiment organization of USA, we build a model about the curative effect of drug cocktail therapy. Using the theory of regression in order to forecast the optimal ending for treatment of drug cocktail therapy of AIDS. We provide a practical method to cure AIDS.

关 键 词：鸡尾酒疗法 数学模型 回归分析 最佳终止治疗时间 

分 类 号：O213[理学—概率论与数理统计]