个人教育收益率的估计与比较：一个半参数方法  

Estimation and Comparison on Individual Returns to Schooling:A Semiparametric Approach

作　　者：王明进[1] 岳昌君[2] 

机构地区：[1]北京大学光华管理学院商务统计与经济计量系副教授 [2]北京大学教育学院教育经济与管理系副教授

出　　处：《统计研究》2009年第6期51-59,共9页Statistical Research

摘　　要：本文运用一种变系数部分线性模型扩展了传统的明瑟人力资本收入函数,并提出了对明瑟函数中"平行性"假设的一种检验方法,以分析个人教育收益率如何受到工龄等因素的影响。通过对1991、2000以及2004等年度国家统计局城镇居民收入调查数据的分析,揭示出近20年来我国城镇居民中不同工龄的人们的教育收益率存在明显区别,其中个人教育收益率最高的始终是在1980年代中后期参加工作的群体。对导致我国教育收益率这种特殊现象的原因作了分析。This paper extends empirically the traditional Mincer human capital earning function using a varying-coefficient partial linear model and puts forward a test for the ＂parallelism＂ hypothesis implied by Mincer＇s function, in order to detect the possible effect of working experience on the rates of return to schooling. Empirical evidences from the household survey data of the National Bureau of Statistics of China in 1991, 2000 and 2004 suggest that the returns to schooling are quite different for urban residents with different working experience. Over the last twenty years the highest rates of return to schooling are always taken by the same group of people who started their working experience in or just after the middle of 1980s. For those who started their working before the restoring of National College Entrance Exam in the late of 1970s and the young generation who graduated in and after the middle of 1990s, their returns to schooling are actually lower than the average. At last, possible causes for this special phenomenon of individual rates of return to schooling in China are analyzed.

关 键 词：人力资本 教育收益率 收入函数 半参数模型 

分 类 号：C812[社会学—统计学]