中国近海异常海温数值预报模式研究Ⅱ.因子分析和试预报  

A numerical model for predicting offshore SST anomaly in the East China SeaⅡ. Factor analyses and experiment forecast

作　　者：王赐震[1] 李许花[1] 戚建华 苏育嵩[1] 

机构地区：[1]青岛海洋大学海洋环境学院

出　　处：《海洋学报》1998年第3期19-26,共8页

基　　金："八五"科技攻关

摘　　要：首先对近海异常海温模式的主要影响因子作了概量估计。在此基础上对形成异常高温和异常低温的有利天气系统、主要影响因子和形成时间尺度进行了比较，进而对试预报（后报）个例的选取、初值的形成、试预报结果及其检验进行了说明。最后对这一研究进行了总结和讨论。ぉased on the quantitative analyses of affecting factors in Offshore-SST Anomaly (O-SSTA ) model, the most favorable atmospheric forcing systems for forming of warm/cold anomaly among O-SSTA are recognized. The different forming time scale and chief factors between the both are indicated. A sample of ex- periment forecast is chosen, its initial values are formed and the model is run. Finally, the results of experi- ment forecast are checked.

关 键 词：近海 异常海温 因子分析 数值预报模式 海温 

分 类 号：P457.3[天文地球—大气科学及气象学] P732.1