病险库坝的风险分析与评估  

Study on Risk Assessment Method for Dangerous Dam

作　　者：王立彬[2] 毕明亮 许小东 

机构地区：[1]不详 [2]三峡大学土木水电学院,443002

出　　处：《灾害与防治工程》2009年第1期47-51,共5页Disaster and Control Engineering

摘　　要：我国病险库坝数量多,规模大,急需处理。风险评估为衡量大坝安全提供了很好的途径。为此,根据风险评估的理论和方法,对病险库坝失事风险的评估方法进行了研究,阐述了包括风险识别、失事模式识别、风险分析、风险评价、风险评估有关概念及分析方法,提出了相应风险的处理措施,从而为病险库坝的除险加固提供决策依据。There are a great many of dangerous dam to be urgently mended in China. Risk assessment provides a good way for judging dam safety. So, based on the theory and method of risk assessment, risk assessment method for dangerous dam failure risk is studied. The risk identification, failure pattern recognition, risk analysis, and risk assessment are introduced. The risk management measures and corresponding treatment are presented, which provides decision reference for dangerous dam reinforcement.

关 键 词：病险库坝 风险识别 风险分析 风险评估 

分 类 号：TV698.1[水利工程—水利水电工程] F830.59[经济管理—金融学]