集中度和圆形分布法分析南昌市1985～2007年麻疹季节性分布  

SEASONAL DISTRIBUTION OF THE MEASLES BY CONCENTRATION DEGREE AND CIRCULAR DISTRIBUTION

作　　者：甘仰本[1] 廖征[1] 蔡军[2] 赵萍萍[1] 文海蓉[1] 

机构地区：[1]南昌市疾病预防控制中心,南昌330006 [2]南昌大学第一附属医院

出　　处：《现代预防医学》2009年第12期2229-2230,2237,共3页Modern Preventive Medicine

摘　　要：[目的]探讨麻疹流行的季节性规律,为制定麻疹防治策略提供依据。[方法]应用集中度及圆形分布法,对南昌市1985～2007年的麻疹季节性分布进行分析。[结果]南昌市1985～2007年的麻疹季节性分布的M值为0.5326,r值为0.5326。[结论]麻疹发病有季节性分布特征,疫苗干预可使麻疹发病高峰日后移,但不会改变麻疹发病的季节性流行规律。[Objective] To study the seasonal characteristic of the measles, so as to provide the controlling strategies of measles in the future. [Methods] The seasonal distribution of the measles during 1985-2007 in Nanehang was analyzed by using concentration degree and circular distribution. [ Results] The M of the seasonal distribution of Measles from 1985 to 2007 in Nanchang was 0.5326, and the r was 0.5326. [Conclusion] The seasonal distribution of measles has seasonal character, and vaccine intervention can delay the morbidity peak time of the measles, but could not change the seasonal epidemic regulari-ty of measles.

关 键 词：集中度法 圆形分布 麻疹 季节性分布 

分 类 号：F511.1[经济管理—产业经济]