中国人口文化素质指数及其空间分异  

THE POPULATION CULTURE QUALITY INDEX AND ITS SPATIAL DIFFERENCE IN CHINA

作　　者：程前昌[1] 毛蒋兴[1] 

机构地区：[1]广西师范学院资源与环境科学学院,南宁530001

出　　处：《人文地理》2009年第3期101-106,共6页Human Geography

基　　金：国家自然基金项目(40601033;40401019);广西科学基金项目(桂科青:0728046)

摘　　要：在构建人口文化素质指数的基础上,结合我国文化教育现状,对我国近十年的人口文化素质指数进行了定量与定性分析。结果表明:我国人口文化素质指数正在快速提高,但整体水平较低;人口文化素质指数的空间差异明显,东部最高,中部次之、西部最低,低于全国平均水平的省域主要位于西部;近2/3的省域发散趋异,收敛趋同的省域不到1/3,向上发散趋异的省域主要位于东、中部,向下发散趋异的省域主要位于西部,空间差异有扩大的趋势;人口文化素质指数与人口城市化水平、经济发展水平分别存在显著的线性关系和对数关系。On the basis of constructing the Population Culture Quality Index （PCQI）, according to actual situation of Chinese education, this paper chooses the objective evaluation indicators, and then qualitatively and quantitatively analyzes PCQI of China from 1997 to 2006. The results can be listed as follows. 1） PCQI developed rapidly, but, at present, its level of development is very low, only arriving at 0.165 in 2006 which was far from the maximum 1. Comparatively, there exists an obvious gap with the developed countries in human development index and comprehensive enrolment rate; 2） the spatial differences of PCQI are great. The PCQI of 13 provinces, most of which are located in the west China, was lower than the average value in 2006. On the whole, as to the index, the eastern part of China is higher than the western, the central part is lower while the western is the lowest; 3） as for the relatively development level, about two-thirds of the provinces continuously diverge while only one-third of the provinces converge, meaning that the gaps among provinces will continually widen. The converging provinces are Tianjin,Fujian, Jiangsu, Shandong, Guangdong, Hainan, Hubei, Shanxi, Henan, Hunan, Inner Mongolia, Shaanxi, Zhejiang, Anhui, Jiangxi, Chongqing, Sichuan, Guizhou, Yunnan, Xizang, Gansu and Ningxia. The diverging provinces are Guangxi, Qinghai, Beijing, Liaoning, Shanghai, Jilin, Heilongjiang and Xinjiang; 4） regression equation indicates that there is a positively linear model between PCQI and population urbanization, and the quantitative relation between PCQI and economy is logarithm model. According to the linear model and the logarithm model, the conclusion of calculation can be described as that when the level of urbanization reaches 83%, the PCQI of China will be around 1, in the other words, when the Per-capita GDP reaches 342893 Yuan, the PCQI of China will also approach 1; 5. Finally, the author points out that the study on the factors of causing the current situation is further needed.

关 键 词：人口文化素质指数 省际差异 人口城市 化水平 

分 类 号：C922[社会学—人口学]