国家关键基础设施安全对经济系统的影响建模分析  

Model and Analysis of Impact on Economic System of Safety of National Critical Infrastructure

作　　者：曹毅[1,2] 张明智[1] 曹强[1] 罗批[1] 

机构地区：[1]国防大学信息作战与指挥训练教研部,北京100091 [2]防空兵指挥学院作战指挥系,河南郑州450052

出　　处：《装备指挥技术学院学报》2009年第3期91-95,共5页Journal of the Academy of Equipment Command & Technology

摘　　要：介绍了国内外关键基础设施的内涵，简述了关键基础设施可能面临的主要威胁；从直接与间接影响2方面研究了关键基础设施破坏对经济影响的建模思路；就直接经济损失、消费者信心及消费支出损失、投资者信心及金融市场损失、企业停减产的损失4个方面，构建关键基础设施破坏对经济的影响模型。选取某一地区经济系统进行仿真实验，实验结果证明了这一方法的可行性。The paper introduces the connotation of the domestic and overseas critical infrastructure. It simply explains the main threat that these main infrastructures are facing. It studies the modeling idea of the impact on the economy of the disruption in the main infrastructures from direct and infrastructures according to the four aspects of the direct economic loss, consumer＇s confidence and consumption expenditure loss, investor＇s confidence and financial market loss, and the loss of the enterprise＇ product due to the stop production and the reduction of output. It selects the economic system of one region as the simulation experiment, and the results show that the method is feasible.

关 键 词：关键基础设施 电力 经济损失 

分 类 号：TP391.9[自动化与计算机技术—计算机应用技术]