中国第三产业外商直接投资的影响因素分析——基于省级面板数据的实证研究  

What Determines FDI in the Tertiary-industry in China?——Based on Panel Data at Province Level

作　　者：张洁[1] 

机构地区：[1]复旦大学管理学院,上海200433

出　　处：《商业经济与管理》2009年第6期50-58,共9页Journal of Business Economics

基　　金：2009年度上海市浦江人才项目;2007-2009年度复旦大学文科金苗计划项目

摘　　要：加入WTO以来,我国第三产业外商直接投资无论在总量还是增长速度上都落后第二产业,尤其是2005年之前,近两年则有较快的增长。文章试图从实证研究的角度给出第三产业FDI落后的解释。文章通过对中国27个省份和直辖市2001-2007年第三产业实际使用外资面板数据进行计量检验,讨论中国第三产业外商直接投资的影响因素,发现市场化程度影响显著,而市场规模的影响并不显著。数据显示,虽然入世以来我国市场规模在不断扩大,但是很多省份2005年之前市场化程度增加速度并不快,而2005年之后有较快的增加,计量检验结果对我国第三产业FDI的增长速度给出了解释。Since China＇s access to WTO, FDI in tertiary-industry in China has dropped behind the FDI in manufacture industry in both total value and growth rate, especially before 2005. But there has been a jump in recent years. This paper examines why FDI in tertiary-industry fluctuated so greatly. We test the factors which have influence on the FDI in tertiary-industry in China by using the panel data of 27 provinces from 2001 to 2007. We find that the private degree has a significant impact on FDI in tertiary-industry. At the same time, the scale of the market is not so important for FDI in service sector. From the data we can see that although the scale of the market in our country is growing fast now, marketization process is stilling ongoing. Before 2005, the marketization is laggardly relative to the recent years. The empirical result can to some extent explain reasons for the lag of FDI in service sector from 2001 to 2005, and the boom in 2006 and 2007 in our country.

关 键 词：第三产业 外商直接投资 影响因素 面板数据 

分 类 号：F062.9[经济管理—政治经济学] F74