相似预报法在宁夏中卫市短期天气预报中的应用  

Similar prediction method in Zhongwei city of Ningxia in the application of short-term weather forecasts

作　　者：白玲 陶林科 李胜发 李保华 毛万忠 

机构地区：[1]中卫市气象局,宁夏中卫755000 [2]吴忠市气象局,宁夏吴忠751100

出　　处：《宁夏工程技术》2009年第2期101-104,共4页Ningxia Engineering Technology

摘　　要：在T213数值预报产品基础上,以预报员预报经验为线索,用形势场客观分型相似,相似离度相似,多因子相似3种预报方法,利用Micaps图形显示功能,显示出短期T213历史个例和对应的宁夏中卫市天气图,以及每个历史相似型下前后48 h的历史天气实况。可为预报员制作短期预报提供依据。Base on T213 numerical prediction productions and the forecasting experience of forecasters, three analogue predictive methods were also used, such as impersonality subtype similarity circulation field, the similarity of the similar separation and the similarity of multi factors. The figure of MICAPS can display short-term weather forecasts in T213 historical observational data, synoptic charts, and the historical weather situation of every historical similarity obseivational data in nearly 48 h in Zhongwei City of Ningxia. So it can provide basis for short-term weather forecast.

关 键 词：T213产品 相似预报 应用 

分 类 号：P456.9[天文地球—大气科学及气象学]