我国农村居民消费结构的稳定性分析  

The Stability Analysis on Consumption Structure of Chinese Countryside Resident

作　　者：王博文[1] 郭亚军[1] 刘仓[2] 

机构地区：[1]西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西杨凌712100 [2]西安财经学院管理学院,陕西西安710063

出　　处：《太原理工大学学报（社会科学版）》2009年第2期6-9,共4页Journal of Taiyuan University of Technology(Social Science Edition)

基　　金：陕西省2007年社科基金(07E021Z)

摘　　要：利用邹氏稳定性检验方法对我国农村居民消费行为的稳定性进行分析,发现从1990年以来农村居民的消费结构发生了质的变化。根据这种分析,应用变参数模型分析农村居民消费和收入的关系,得出农村居民消费对农村居民收入存在着显著的影响关系的结论,提出保持农民收入持续增长,促进消费提高,进而促进农民收入提高的建议。This paper applies Chow breakpoint test to analyze the stability of consumption structure of Chinese countryside resident,and find that the consumption structure of rural people have had a significant change since 1990. According to this analysis,the paper make use of the varying parameter model to analyze the relationship of income and consumption. It also find that there is a remarkable causal relationship between the income and the consumption, and the consumption influence obviously the income to countryside resident. So it is proposed that we should make the income of countryside resident increase sustainable to enhance consumption and make the income increasing quickly.

关 键 词：农村居民 消费结构 稳定性 变参数模型 

分 类 号：F328[经济管理—产业经济]