人民币现钞投放量相关影响因素的模型分析  

Empirical Analysis on the Relationship between RMB Circulation and Relevant Factors

作　　者：刘万翔[1] 严一锋[2] 陶玲琴[3] 

机构地区：[1]陕西广播电视大学基础课教学部,陕西西安710068 [2]西安交通大学管理学院,陕西西安710049 [3]西安交通大学经济与金融学院,陕西西安710061

出　　处：《统计与信息论坛》2009年第7期29-33,共5页Journal of Statistics and Information

摘　　要：采用描述统计方法和计量经济模型论证了GDP、CPI、居民社会消费品零售总额与人民币现钞投放量之间的相关关系,建立了回归模型,揭示出收入、物价、消费对人民币现钞的决定性作用。The issuing of reasonable amount of RMB bank notes is a fundamental condition to support the stability and high speed growth of China＇ s economy, and it also plays a very important role in controlling inflation and stabilizing financial market. The methodology of statistics and econometrics are adopted in the paper which has analyzed the relationship between the total amount of RMB issued and GDP, CPI, the amount of sales of consumer goods as well as fixed assets investment. In addition, the paper develops a regression model which reveals that the levels of income, price and consumption play dominant roles in IMB issuing.

关 键 词：消费物价指数 因果关系检验 平稳性检验 国内生产总值 

分 类 号：F820.3[经济管理—财政学]