广东省沿海港口经济景气预警初探  

Preliminary study on prosperity early-warning of coastal port economy of Guangdong province

作　　者：王勇健[1] 

机构地区：[1]中交第四航务工程勘察设计院有限公司,广东广州510230

出　　处：《水运工程》2009年第7期10-14,73,共6页Port & Waterway Engineering

摘　　要：在广东省沿海港口货物吞吐量变化与产业发展灰色关联分析的基础上,构建广东省沿海港口经济景气指标体系,并通过分析广东省沿海港口经济扩散指数变化曲线,对近年广东省沿海港口经济运行情况进行评价并预测其近期发展趋势。Based on the grey relational analysis of the import and export volume change of coastal ports in Guangdong province and the industry development, a prosperity index system of coastal port economy of Guangdong province is established. Through analyzing the DI curve of coastal port economic of Guangdong province, the operation status of coastal economy in Guangdong province is estimated and development trend of it in recent years is predicted.

关 键 词：港口 经济预警 灰色关联分析 景气指标体系 扩散指数 

分 类 号：F55[经济管理—产业经济]