要素价格滞后波动显露的宏观经济运行新动向  

A New Trend in Macro-Economy Operation Uncovered by Lagging Fluctuation of Factor Price

作　　者：管怀鎏[1] 

机构地区：[1]南通大学商学院

出　　处：《财经科学》2009年第9期58-64,共7页Finance & Economics

基　　金：江苏省社会科学基金(批准号06JSBJL007)的资助

摘　　要：本文借助实际统计资料分析了要素价格滞后于价格总水平波动的情况,揭示了近年来我国宏观经济运行中一尚未引起人们关注的新动向——总供给曲线斜率正在逐步增大;尔后考察了其现实影响,指出总供给曲线斜率增大将降低以短期需求管理为主轴的宏观调控政策效应,同时将增加后续的通货膨胀压力;在此基础上提出了宏观调控应从当前主要侧重于需求管理及时向供给与需求管理并重转换的政策思路。By analyzing the statistical data of fluctuation of factor price lagging behind the general level of price, this paper reveals a new trend in China＇s macro - economy operation which has not been noticed in recent years： the slope of the aggregate supply curve has been increasing. The paper investigates the real impacts of this trend and points out that increase of the slope of the aggregate supply curve has a negative impact on the policy effect of macro- adjustment and control, which at present consists of mainly short- term demand ~ment, and will increase the inflation pressure hereafter as well. Based on this analysis, a new policy idea is proposed for the current macro - adjustment and control, which requires comparable management effort on both demand and supply rather than on demand only.

关 键 词：总供给 要素价格 总供给曲线斜率 宏观调控 

分 类 号：F123[经济管理—世界经济]