突水量数量化预测模型及其应用  

QUANTITATIVE MODEL FOR PREDICTING MINE INFLOW AND ITS APPLICATION

作　　者：陈朝阳[1] 高建中[2] 刘白宙[2] 张占全[2] 张萍芳[2] 王长文[2] 

机构地区：[1]煤炭科学研究总院西安分院 [2]焦作矿务局

出　　处：《煤田地质与勘探》1998年第4期45-48,共4页Coal Geology & Exploration

摘　　要：选取对大煤底板八灰突水水量有影响的地质因素，如构造、岩溶、矿压、突水系数、新突水点至老突水点的最近距离为自变量，以最大突水量、稳定突水量为基准变量，用“数量化理论Ⅰ”将定性变量数量化，与定量变量联合建立焦作东部矿区的八灰突水量预测模型。经检验两个模型预测突水量相对误差小于１者大于７２．５％，实测值与各自变量组合的复相关系数在０．７以上，对７个实际例子预测效果较好，从理论和实例上都说明所建模型可信，可用于焦作东区突水量的预测预报。The models about maximum flow and stable flow L8 limestone aquifer in east part of Jiaozhuo Mine Area are established by quantifying the quality variables according to quantitative theory Ⅰ.In these models,the influential factors on mine flow,such as,geological structure,karst,inrush index,roof weight are selected as basic variables.The error of the two models about mine flow prediction are between 725% and 100% according to the tests.The complex correlation coefficient is over 07.The results of engineering use are good.The theory and practice show that the models are reliable in practical application.

关 键 词：数量化理论 矿井水 煤田 突水量 数量化预测模型 

分 类 号：P641.461[天文地球—地质矿产勘探] TD742.1[天文地球—地质学]