基于FAHP的水利工程项目成本风险管理研究  

Research on Cost Risk Management of Water Conservancy Engineering Project Based on FAHP

作　　者：刘永强[1] 张洪瑞 钱璧君[1] 

机构地区：[1]河海大学水利水电工程学院,江苏南京210098 [2]国电云南阿墨江发电有限公司,云南昆明650021

出　　处：《水电能源科学》2009年第4期151-154,共4页Water Resources and Power

基　　金：国家自然科学基金资助项目(50779020)

摘　　要：针对我国水利施工企业的工程项目成本管理较大程度上仍延续计划经济时期的粗放式管理,应用风险管理理论对水利工程项目成本风险因素进行识别,建立了风险因素的层次结构,将层次分析法在模糊环境下进行扩展,引入三角模糊数的概念构建了水利工程项目成本风险评价模型并进行了实例应用。结果表明,应用水利工程项目成本风险管理可提高水利施工企业工程项目成本精细化管理水平,取得了良好的成本管理效果。Aiming at the water conservancy construction management which was used in the planned economic period water conservancy engineering project are recognized in this structure of the factors is established, AHP is expanded at enterprises in our country are still using the extensive style to a great extent. According to this, the cost risk factors of thesis by using risk management theory, and a hierarchical the fuzzy environment, cost risk comprehensive evaluation model is established by introducing triangular fuzzy numbers, and be used in application example. By making empirical analysis, it shows that the cost refinement management level of the construction enterprise is improved and the construction enterprise obtains a good effect on the cost management by using cost risk management.

关 键 词：模糊层次分析 水利工程项目成本 三角模糊数 成本风险管理 

分 类 号：F294[经济管理—国民经济]