基于模糊层次分析法的房地产泡沫程度评价研究  

Study on Evaluating Degree of Real Estate Bubble Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process

作　　者：李东晔[1] 黄好杰[1] 李延喜[1] 高锐[1] 

机构地区：[1]大连理工大学管理学院,大连116023

出　　处：《技术经济》2009年第8期34-40,共7页Journal of Technology Economics

基　　金：建设部及大连市建委软科学项目"城市房地产市场健康发展综合评价体系研究"(2007-R5-5);教育部应急课题"金融危机背景下稳定房地产业价格对策研究"(2009JYJR049)

摘　　要：本文针对我国房地产泡沫程度评价问题进行研究。用冥法迭代的思想对模糊层次分析法进行改进,以我国35座大中城市为研究样本,运用改进的模糊层次分析法模型评价了上述城市2004—2007年的房地产泡沫程度。研究发现,2004—2007年样本城市均存在不同程度的房地产泡沫,且泡沫程度呈恶化趋势;房地产泡沫程度呈区域分布,经济发达地区的房地产泡沫程度远远高于经济不发达地区。This paper studies the degree of real estate bubble in China. It uses power iteration to improve fuzzy analytic hierarchy process （FAHP）. Taking 35 cities in China as the research sample,and using the improved model based on FAHP,it evaluates the degree of real estate bubble in sample cities during 2004-2007. The result shows that almost all the cities evaluated are in different degree of real estate bubble and on the trend of worsening from 2004 to 2007;regional distribution is also taken,and the degree of real estate bubble in economic developed regions is much higher than that in economic undeveloped regions.

关 键 词：房地产泡沫 模糊层次分析法 幂法迭代 

分 类 号：F293.3[经济管理—国民经济]