基于GM(1,1)模型的武器装备性能预测在作战需求分析中的作用  

Purpose of Military Equipment Performances Forecast for the Operation Requirement Analysis Based on GM(1,1) Model

作　　者：喻中华[1] 孟凡凯[1] 

机构地区：[1]解放军炮兵学院,安徽合肥230031

出　　处：《指挥控制与仿真》2009年第4期46-47,共2页Command Control & Simulation

摘　　要：针对目前武器装备作战需求分析过程中存在主观性大、需求不准确的实际情况,借助灰色系统理论,建立了GM(1,1)预测模型,以历代武器装备的性能参数为输入,得到未来武器装备可能的性能参数值,其结论可为作战需求分析提供有效参考和约束。The process of operational requirement analysis is existing some problem of subjective and unfitted, this paper established a forecast GM（1,1） model on the basis of gray system theory, we could deduce future military equipment performances when input past weapons parameter, this result could provided restrict and reference for operational requirement analysis.

关 键 词：武器装备 性能预测 灰色系统 作战需求 

分 类 号：E917[军事] E920.8[军事—军事装备学]