中国近海海面风场预报方法综述  

A review on the forecast method of China offshore wind

作　　者：李敏[1] 王辉[2] 金啟华[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国气象科学研究院 [2]国家海洋环境预报中心,北京100081

出　　处：《海洋预报》2009年第3期114-120,共7页Marine Forecasts

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(40576012)

摘　　要：海上大风是一种灾害性海洋天气现象,能够准确、及时的预报海上大风对沿海地区的防灾减灾具有十分重要的意义。目前近海风场的预报方法有经验预报、统计预报、数值模式预报和统计动力(数值产品的释用)预报等。本文主要针对这些预报方法进行汇总与分析,为预报员提供可靠的依据。The strong wind occurring in the coastal region is a disaster phenomenon, therefore it is important to predict the strong wind events timely and accurately for disaster prevention and mitigation. At present, the strong wind forecasting methods are experiment forecast, statistical forecast, the numerical model forecast, statistical dynamic （using the result of the numerical model） forecast, and et al. This paper aims at introducing and summarizing these forecasting methods to provide an effective basis to forecasters.

关 键 词：中国近海 海面风场 预报方法 

分 类 号：P732[天文地球—海洋科学]