协整分析在我国第三产业与GDP关系研究中的应用  

The Application of Co-integration Analysis in Research on the Correlation of Tertiary Industry and GDP in China

作　　者：徐雅静[1] 曲双红[1] 

机构地区：[1]郑州轻工业学院数学与信息科学系,河南郑州450002

出　　处：《数学的实践与认识》2009年第15期28-33,共6页Mathematics in Practice and Theory

摘　　要：运用协整理论,对我国第三产业产值与GDP进行研究,探索经济变量间的内在关系,以期发现两者之间是否存在动态均衡关系.并通过模型分析GDP与第三产业产值的关系,为有关部门制定政策提供参考.Applying the co-integration theory to analyze the correlation of the tertiary industry output value and GDP in China, this paper probes into the internal relationship of the economy variables in attempt to figure out the assuming dynamic balance between the two. The modeling analysis of the correlation between the tertiary industry output value and GDP supplies a reliable reference for departments concerned to formulate policies.

关 键 词：时间序列 GDP 第三产业 协整 误差修整模型 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济] F719F222.33