酞酸酯类化合物在不同温度下蒸气压的定量预测模型研究  

A temperature-dependent quantitative predic-tive model for vapor pressures of PAEs

作　　者：张金多[1] 李雪花[1] 王亚南[1] 秦红[1] 陈景文[1] 

机构地区：[1]大连理工大学环境科学与工程系工业生态与环境工程教育部重点实验室,辽宁大连116024

出　　处：《安全与环境学报》2009年第4期17-20,共4页Journal of Safety and Environment

基　　金：国家高技术研究发展计划863项目(2007AA06Z415)

摘　　要：依照经济合作与发展组织(OECD)关于定量结构-活性关系(QSAR)模型的构建和使用导则,采用偏最小二乘(PLS)法进行变量筛选和回归分析,建立了不同温度下酞酸酯类化合物(PAEs)蒸气压的定量预测模型。模型仅包含温度、相对分子质量、氢原子最高净正电荷3个参数。模型的应用域(AD)可由williams图较好地表征。结果表明,温度和相对分子质量是影响PAEs蒸气压的主要因素,且温度越高、相对分子质量越小时,蒸气压越大。内部验证与外部验证结果表明该模型具有良好的稳健性和预测能力。The paper is inclined to introduce a temperature-dependent quantitative predictive model for vapor pressures of environmental chemistry of phthalic acid esters （PAEs）. As we know, since vapor pressures （P） is one of the key physicochemical properties to determine the environmental features of PAEs but it is hard to define them experimentally, it is of great significance to develop necessary temperature-dependent predictive models for testing such pressures. According to the OECD （Organization for Eeonomic Co-operation and Development） guideline for the validation of quantitative structure-activity relationship （QSAR） models, we have developed such an improved predictive model, in which 3 temperature related variables are introduced to illustrate the environmental temperature data with 15 molecular struetural descriptive indexes listed by the PM3 method in MOPAC 2000. In addition, partial least squares （PLS） regression process has been adopted to describe the model by eliminating redundant descriptive indexes. Actually, the optimal model involves merely 3 variables, i.e. temperature, relative molecular mass, and the most positive net atomic eharge on the hydrogen atoms. The other eorrelated data are： R2 = 0.972, RMSE = 0.396, Q^CUM = 0.962, which account for the goodness-of-fit and robustness. Besides, Q2XT proves to be 0.880 with RMSE being 0.391, which helps to heighten the ef- ficient predictability of the model. Trial application shows that the proposed model is beth simple to use and highly efficient. From the results of the primary application, it can be coneluded that temperature and relative molecular mass play a dominant role in governing the values of lgP, whieh proves to be increasing with the rise of the temperature and decreasing with the rise of relative molecular mass.

关 键 词：环境科学 酞酸酯类(PAEs) 蒸气压 偏最小二乘(PL5) 理论分子结构描述符 

分 类 号：X828[环境科学与工程—环境工程]