国际金融危机背景下我国虚拟经济与实体经济发展问题研究  

Research on Fictitious Economy and Real Economy Development in China under the Background of Financial Crisis

作　　者：吴德礼[1] 李惠彬[2] 徐仕政[1] 

机构地区：[1]国家开发银行广东省分行,广东广州510620 [2]重庆大学经济与工商管理学院,重庆400030

出　　处：《南方金融》2009年第8期16-20,30,共6页South China Finance

摘　　要：随着国际金融危机的蔓延和发展,虚拟经济与实体经济的发展问题日益成为学界关注和讨论的热点。本文从理论层面探讨了虚拟经济与实体经济的关系,分别从股票市场、债券市场、期货市场与物质产业部门等方面分析我国虚拟经济与实体经济的发展现状,通过协整分析和格兰杰因果关系检验方法对两者的相互关系进行分析,进而提出并剖析存在问题,最后结合我国实际,从四方面提出促进虚拟经济与实体经济有序发展的对策建议。With the spread and development of global financial crisis, the development of fictitious economy and real economy has become a hot topic in the academic circle. This paper first explores the relationship between fictitious economy and real economy on a theoretical level. Then it analyzes the current status of the fictitious economy and real economy in our country from the aspects of stock market, securities market, option market and commodity producing industry. It adopts co-integration method and Granger Test of Causality to explore the mutual relationship of the two, and then presents and specifies existing problems. In the end, this paper proposes several countermeasures and suggestions to facilitate the ordered development of fictitious economy and real economy from four perspectives.

关 键 词：虚拟经济 实体经济 有序发展 

分 类 号：F49[经济管理—产业经济] F124