投资发展路径(IDP):阶段检验和国际比较研究  

Investment Development Path:Stage Test and International Comparison Research

作　　者：陈漓高 黄武俊[1] 

机构地区：[1]南开大学国际经济研究所

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2009年第9期51-56,共6页World Economy Studies

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地跨国公司研究中心重大项目"中国企业跨国经营环境与战略研究"(项目批准号:05JJD790014)的阶段性研究成果之一

摘　　要：本文在阐述投资发展路径(IDP)理论和实证研究文献的基础上,采用多种形式模型对几个主要发展中国家进行实证检验,结果显示,不同国家投资发展路径具有异质性,使用净对外直接投资存量数据较流量数据具有更好的检验效果。进而使用存量数据对世界多数国家进行实证检验和IDP阶段划分,结果显示,其中绝大多数国家符合IDP理论,为数不少的发达国家所处IDP阶段滞后于其经济发展水平,另外,传统IDP第五阶段需要作新的阐释。This paper presents an account of literature reviewes on Investment Development Path (IDP) theory and its empirical study.On this basis,our empirical study of various models move to several major developing countries.It suggests that the structure of IDP is country-specific and the test results based on net outward investment stock data are better than on flow data.Then the empirical tests using the stock data are conducted on most countries in the world and the stage of IDP for each country is also classified.The conclusions show that the test results of the overwhelming majority of countries confirm the IDP but the stages of many developed countries' IDP lag behind the position that their gross domestic product would justify.In addition,we give a representation of the fifth stage of the traditional IDP.

关 键 词：投资发展路径 阶段检验 国际比较 

分 类 号：F830.59[经济管理—金融学]