区域经济增长的物流支持研究——基于湖南数据的协整检验和VEC模型分析  

Analysis on Logistics Supporting in Regional Economic Growth——Co-integration Test and Vector Error Correction Model Based on Hunan Province

作　　者：张冲[1,2] 刘征驰[1,2] 庄树坤[1] 

机构地区：[1]湖南大学经济与贸易学院,湖南长沙410079 [2]湖南省物流信息仿真技术重点实验室,湖南长沙410079

出　　处：《技术与创新管理》2009年第5期612-615,共4页Technology and Innovation Management

基　　金：高校博士点基金课题"基于物流信息支持的供应链决策优化及协调技术研究"支持(编号:20050532029)

摘　　要：根据1982—2006年的湖南年度数据对区域经济增长的物流支持进行研究,选取影响区域物流发展水平的四个重要因素作为指标,对湖南经济增长与物流发展之间的关系进行协整检验并建立向量误差修正模型,验证了它们的长期均衡关系和短期修正效应。结果表明湖南经济增长与物流发展之间存在协整关系,湖南经济的发展需要进一步的物流支持。The paper analyzes the relationship between Hunan economic growth and its logistics supporting from 1982 to 2006, choosing four elements that is of great influence on Regional economic growth. Co-integration test and vector error correction model have been built to verify the long-term equilibrium relationship and short-term revision effect between them. The conclusion shows that there is long-term co-integration relationship between Hunan economic growth and logistics development. Hunan economic growth needs further logistics supporting. Pertinent policy suggestions on logistics development have been put forward.

关 键 词：经济增长 物流支持 协整 向量误差修正模型 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]