河南省金融发展与经济增长关系实证分析  

Empirical Analysis of the Relation of Financial Development with Economic Growth in Henan

作　　者：祝英丽[1] 李小建[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]河南大学黄河文明与可持续发展研究中心,河南开封475001 [2]河南财经学院资源与环境科学系,河南郑州450002

出　　处：《地理与地理信息科学》2009年第5期69-73,共5页Geography and Geo-Information Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(40671048);教育部人文社科重点研究基地重大项目(2007JJD790124)

摘　　要：选取金融相关率和人均国内生产总值两个指标,采用相关分析、协整分析、格兰杰因果检验探讨改革开放以来河南省金融发展与经济增长的关系。结果表明:河南省金融发展与经济增长呈高度正相关,长期均衡,并存在经济增长引领金融发展的单向因果关系,金融发展对经济增长的推动作用不显著;金融发展水平受其前期影响巨大且显著,经济增长对金融发展存在滞后两期的促进作用。与发达地区相比,河南省金融发展滞后经济增长,这可能与金融制度改革有关,同时也受中原传统文化和金融结构的影响。最后提出发展河南省金融业的建议。In this paper,FIR and GDP per capita are selected as two indicators and the relationship of financial development with economic growth in Henan is probed since reforming and opening up using relationship analysis, co-integration analysis and Granger Causality Test. The results show that： there is a high positive correlation and a long-time stably equilibrium between financial development and economic growth in Henan. Besides, there is a one-way causal relationship between them that economic growth promotes financial development, however financial development doesn＇t significantly promote economic growth. Economic growth has a two cross-lagged promoting influence on the financial development. Compared with the developed areas, financial development lags behind economic growth in Henan. It may be relates to financial system reform,and is impacted by traditional culture and financial structure. At last,some recommendations are put forward to develop financial industry in Henan.

关 键 词：金融相关率 协整分析 格兰杰检验 河南省 

分 类 号：F127[经济管理—世界经济]