社会治安预警指标体系及其实现途径  

Early Warning Target System for Social Public Order and Practice Methods

作　　者："社会治安动态预警研究"课题组 

机构地区：[1]中国人民公安大学,北京100038

出　　处：《中国人民公安大学学报（社会科学版）》2009年第3期24-32,共9页Journal of People’s Public Security University of China:Social Sciences Edition

基　　金：国家科技支撑计划项目"社会治安动态预警研究"的阶段性成果(项目编号:2006BAK08B01)

摘　　要：社会治安预警的基本要素有警义、警源、警兆和警度,主要方法包括循环波动法、综合模拟法和状态空间法。社会治安预警指标体系设计应当遵循完备性原则和最小性原则,指标筛选分类采用时差相关分析法。社会治安预警的实现途径可分为两步:一是以报警监控系统为平台,警兆的观测和上传由人工(预警员)完成;二是建立具有直接感应功能的警兆监测和传输系统,以解决实时预警的实现问题。There are many key elements in the early warning for social public order. The main methods include the way of circulatory system, the way of synthetic simulation and the way of form and space. To design the early warning target system for social public order, the common principles should be followed are the complete one and the least one. How to realize the early warning target system for social public order, generally speaking, the common ways are the devices which reports to the police monitor system and the transfer system with direct response function

关 键 词：社会治安 预警 指标体系 途径 

分 类 号：D035.34[政治法律—政治学]