我国城镇最低生活保障制度改革的微观模拟——基于劳动供给反应的政策效应研究  

The Micro-simulation of Urban Minimum Living Standard Program Reform in China:Policy Effects Research Based on Labor Supply

作　　者：万相昱[1] 

机构地区：[1]东北师范大学商学院,长春130117

出　　处：《公共管理学报》2009年第4期52-60,共9页Journal of Public Management

基　　金：教育部新世纪优秀人才支持计划(NCET-05-0318);东北师范大学自然科学青年基金(20090701)

摘　　要：最低生活保障制度改革一直是我国社会与学界关注的重点,而由于微观数据和建模技术的匮乏,对于该问题的研究往往限于定性理解和总量分析。本文以计算机微观模拟技术为突破口,将微观主体的异质特征和行为决策机制纳入模拟的实验范畴,建立相应的模拟模型,对我国城镇居民最低生活保障制度改革进行深入的量化研究。结合区域经济现实,分别从历史特定的制度改革和政策参数的灵敏度实验两方面进行了微观模拟,实验结果量化了制度改革所引发的劳动供给与收入分配效应,同时揭示了制度潜在的低效率及其本质原因,并提出应对策略;为最低生活保障制度改革的评价与设计提供了建设性依据。As a result of the lack of micro-data and modeling techniques,the urban minimum living standard program reform in China tends to be limited to qualitative analysis or macro-economic aggregate analysis,though it has been wildly concerned about in both academic and society. By the technology of the computer micro -simulation,this paper integrates individual micro-heterogeneity and decision -making behavior into research,and then provides a micro-simulation model to analyze the policy effects of minimum living standard reform in China. Some simulation experiments of the previous reform and the policy parameters sensitivity are made with regional economic data. The results provide a constructive basis and an effective tool for the evaluation and design of the policies.

关 键 词：最低生活保障制度 微观模拟 收入分配 劳动供给 

分 类 号：F840.6[经济管理—保险]