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机构地区:[1]武汉大学经济与管理学院,湖北武汉430072
出 处:《中国软科学》2009年第9期1-8,共8页China Soft Science
基 金:国家社会科学基金项目"中国工业化;城市化与耕地非农化协同发展研究"(08BJL005)
摘 要:2007年"粮食海啸"引发粮食贸易保护主义的"多米诺骨牌效应"值得我们对粮食安全进行一定的反思。迄今为止,立足于自给的中国粮食供给基本处于安全范围之内,但存在着保障水平较低、结构性矛盾等突出问题。未来中国粮食安全面临人口持续增长和耕地不断减少带来的双重压力,而且工业化和城镇化发展对农地资源的保护提出了严峻挑战。为此,需要确立以"粮食生产能力"指标为核心的农地保护政策,选择"紧凑型"的城市化发展模式,并积极拓展和利用海外农地资源。We should pay great attention to the "domino effect" of food trade protectionism caused by "food tsunami" in 2007. Up till now, China gets its food demand and supply balance basically through domestic production, however, the balance is vulnerable with the characteristics of low average level, structural imbalance and so on. In the future, China will face severe food supply pressure derive from population growth and farmland resource reduction, and industrialization and urbanization will also bring great challenges to farmland protection. To cope with the challenges, China need to rebuild its farmland protection policy with the core index of food production capacity, meanwhile choose the development pattern of compact urbanization, and make use of oversea farmland resource.
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