峰值研究:已从石油峰值扩展到化石能源峰值  

Peak research:from peak oil to peak fossil fuels

作　　者：杨兴[1] 胡燕[1] 王建良[1] 冯连勇[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国石油大学,北京102249

出　　处：《中国矿业》2009年第8期39-42,共4页China Mining Magazine

摘　　要：峰值研究已从石油峰值扩展到化石能源峰值,目前该方面的研究急剧增加。化石能源峰值(Peak Fossil Fuels)是某一地域范围内的主要化石能源产量的最大值(峰值点或峰值平台)及其来临时间,是石油、天然气和煤炭产量峰值的叠加。本文从多方面论证了化石能源峰值的客观存在性;接着就国内外化石能源研究过程中争论的焦点进行分析和总结;最后基于世界的实际状况,论证了化石能源峰值正向我们走来,并阐述了化石能源峰值重大意义。Research on peak oil has extended to peak fossil fuels,now research on peak fossil fuels increases dramatically.Peak fossil fuels is the largest production and the time in one area.,it s the superposition of peak oil,peak natural gsa and peak coal.We demonstrate that the fossil fuels is objective all-round,then analyze and summarize the debate on peak fossil fuels.Finally,based n the world actual situation,we conclude that peak fossil fuels is coming and we must prepare for it.

关 键 词：化石能源峰值 石油峰值 油气储量 

分 类 号：F407.22[经济管理—产业经济]